Iran has threatened Israel to not carry out any attacks that are directed towards its infrastructure, especially after it is seen that Israel could possibly target Iran’s oil factories or nuclear factories. As per the given reference the same warning also comes from October 1, in response to a missile fire by which the fire may have been attributed to Iran. The Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi claimed that if Iranian infrastructure were bombed then the country would respond with “a stronger measure”.
The months saw weeks and the pressure on Iran’s missiles which eventually had Israel and its military in preparation to start a strike. Missile attack on Israel happened the second time for Iran over the past few months which created an even more heightened situation between the countries. On Monday, Araghchi echoed Iran’s line that the country would not engage in war, but was prepared to act “decisively” in response to dangers.
The United States has also followed closely because it, like China, has not yet made any statement regarding the issue; it is only because other countries have failed to do so. Joe Biden called upon Israel not to carry out such actions and not to launch attacks on the Iranian oil installations because they could lead to a war. The country number 9 and the one of the most significant nations on the oil trade market it is to Iranian petroleum, any reduction of its oil production capacity may impact the energy market globally.
Furthermore, when referring to security, General Rassul Sanairad from the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps said that “an attack on the nuclear or energy of the country” would be on their “red line,” where he explained Iran aims for challenges to its nuclear status, especially when it talks about its nuclear program. Some analysts may still suggest that the given statement indirectly alludes to a shift in attitude towards the Iranian nuclear program, which, in their opinion, should be considered even if only slightly.
In 2022, there was renewed focus on the Iranian nuclear program where locals started to question whether Iran was really competent to create such destructive tools. While this has not been denied, the Iranian authorities are always quick to point out that their own nation has a right to develop nuclear technology in order to have a source of energy rather than the creation of a nuclear weapon. At the same time, it was in late 2023 that Iran started to enrich uranium more, based on IAEA’s information concerning Western countries and other nations. The primary use of the uranium, including military applications, require enrichment of the uranium at a percentage higher than what is stated by the Iranian company that it produces its uranium at 60%.
According to Iranian President Ali Khamenei, the attack on Israel was intended to respond to the killings of Hezbollah and Hamas’ top leaders, Hassan Nasrallah and Ismail Haniyeh, during an Israeli attack on Lebanon. There is no indication from the Israeli embassy that it has a comment, however, the Iranian government points out Israel for the killing of Haniyeh, which the Iran believes was by Israel.
It is a very effective and often repeated scenario in the region and it keeps creating new tensions between Iran and Israel. Thus, it has anticipated that the developments in the region have been carefully observed and monitored to prevent any situation like this from escalating into another war in the area. In a region already experiencing regional politics which is still growing and an impending crisis the situation becomes unpredictable. It is when the two dominant players – the two parties – are in a dynamic interaction with other regional nations which means the possibilities are broad.
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